WEEK AHEAD: DEATH DRONES, MISSILE POLITICS & CRUDE DYNAMITE | JUNE 08 – 13

​Written from a trading desk that hasn’t slept since Putin barked and drones lit up Kyiv’s sky like New Year’s in hell.

This is it. The pivot. The global chessboard’s been flipped by a trembling vodka glass in the Kremlin. Oil’s not just reacting to price anymore — it’s absorbing shockwaves like a frontline bunker.

RUSSIA’S FURY: "ATO MODE ENGAGED"They told us “SMO.” Now it’s ATO. Same bear, new claws.
Putin called an emergency meeting like a mob boss assembling capos before a turf war. Rumors of retaliatory hellfire keep swirling. If Operation Spiderweb was Ukraine’s provocation, the Kremlin’s about to write its response in smoke, steel, and Geran-2 drones.

Markets? Already twitchy. One missile on a Ukrainian pipeline or refinery and we gap up harder than a junkie on Powell speech day.

"You trade crude now? You better know how to read a war map."

NATO GETS TWITCHYNATO’s now flexing. Baltic and Black Seas declared “ours.” Like a dealer marking his corners. Submarine cables mysteriously cut? Coincidence? Maybe. Maybe not.

RAF Typhoons scrambled four times in five days. That’s not peacetime noise. That’s Cold War 2.0, pre-launch phase.

Mark Rutte’s lips are moving, and the eurozone’s gearing up to spend 5% GDP on war toys.
Meanwhile, the UK’s sending 100,000 drones to Ukraine — who needs peace when you can flood the sky?

CHINA DROPS ITS NUCLEAR CVChina just flashed the DF-5B like a gangster pulling open his coat to show ten separate warheads. MIRVs, 12,000 km range, and each one could cook a continent.
​
No one’s saying “calm down” anymore. The grown-ups are gone. Deterrence is theater, and Beijing just booked the front row.

MACRO HELL: CPI & ECB AHEADCPI hits June 12. If it runs hot, Powell’s hawks will scream again.
ECB June 13 — Lagarde might as well read poetry because no one’s buying rate cuts in a warzone.
Saudi OSP due — pricing pressure on Asian contracts could ripple back.

TECHNICAL SETUP – WTI

• Daily 200 EMA? Holding.
• 1H RSI: 55–60. Bullish tension.
• 10 SMA / LWMA cross: Flirting with entry. Candle gods willing.
• ATR expanding: Strap in.

Buy Zone: $63.10–63.35
Stop: $62.40
Target: $65.00–65.70
Confidence: 75% — Pending RSI + candle structure confirmation

STRATEGIC NOTES FROM THE TRENCH

• Trump’s war room is a circus of whispers, drone strikes, and internal sabotage.
• Graham. Kellogg. The ghosts of old Pentagon war dogs. Someone went rogue.
• Ukraine’s over-60s now enlisting voluntarily. That’s not strength. That’s last stand energy.
• If Germany signs off Taurus, Russia will hit back before the ink dries.

Playbook:
Buy fear. Sell the lie. Hedge everything.
Sleep with one eye on the chart and the other on the missile trajectory.